Update on the Oil Crisis in Canada and Abroad
– Momentum Public Relations –
According to financial prognosticators the recession that recently hit Canada will continue to affect Canadians; particularly those who live in Calgary and Edmonton. For instance, according to the Conference Board of Canada, Edmonton’s economy will contract by an additional 1.3% in 2016, while Calgary’s economy is expected to shrink by an additional 1.2% this year. The continual decline in the two cities economies can be attributed to the decline in the price of oil, and the impact of the steep drop has trickled into other sectors of the economy as well.
Furthermore, job loss numbers are also expected to increase in 2016, as Calgary will suffer from an additional 2.1% loss in employment growth, bringing the overall unemployment rate to 7.5% this year. Alarmingly, the 7.5% unemployment rate is actually higher than the national average, a figure that Calgary has not hit since 1987. Moreover, the sectors that are expected to get hit the hardest by the steep decline in oil prices are the trade and construction industries respectively.
Residents of Edmonton will also not fare that much better, as unemployment rates are expected to hit 7% this year; an almost 2 decade high. It should also be noted that the real estate market will also take a subsequent hit from the massive layoffs, as the excess of office space created by all the layoffs will discourage investments in non-residential construction as well as office buildings. De facto, pundits expect a 33% drop in housing starts in Edmonton in 2016, while Calgary can expect a housing start drop of 18% this year.
What’s more, on March 3rd, 2016, Canadian National Resources Ltd reported an 89% drop in quarterly profit ($131 million), due mainly to the steep decline in oil prices. Canadian National Resource Ltd is Canada’s second largest gas and oil producer, and the enterprise is currently projecting capital expenditures ranging from 3.5 to 3.9 billion dollars, in stark comparison to the 4.5 to 5 billion dollar range that they projected in 2015. Annual production values of oil are also expected to drop by 2% this year in comparison to last year, and the Calgary/Alberta based entity’s share prices dropped to 12 cents per share in Q4 2015, compared to $1.09 per share during the same period in 2014. In sum, Canadian National Resources Ltd reported that revenues fell by 36% to 2.79 billion dollars.
Moving beyond the dire economic situation currently facing Edmonton and Calgary, airplane manufacturing is also expected to take a severe hit from declining oil prices. For instance, airplane retirements for Boeing and Airbus fell to only 28 in Q1 of 2016, compared to 104 in Q1 of 2015. In other words, the decline in oil prices has led to a reduction in demand for more energy efficient aircrafts, because they are currently not seen as a priority from a cost perspective.
Globally, the latest numbers indicate that over one million barrels are being oversupplied every day. That is, the oversupply is being caused by the fact that there are insufficient storage areas to store oil. In fact, the situation has become so dire that some experts are suggesting that pumped oil be stored in swimming pools due to insufficient storage spaces. In addition, oil tankers are also being sent on longer voyages to help reduce tanker pile up debacles at junction ports, as 50 oil tankers are currently remaining stationary in the port of Rotterdam, which is the highest figure being reported since 2009. A similar situation is currently taking place in the United States’ largest oil hub, which is based in Cushing, Oklahoma.
The marked drop in crude oil prices has also forced ExxonMobil to cut its capital spending to only 23 billion this year; a 25% drop from the previous year. Russia has also been hit hard by the oil crisis, as the country is currently trying to recover from its own recession. In fact, automotive sales dropped by 36% last year, and massive layoffs in plants like the Avtovaz plant in Tolyatti have forced many workers to leave their homes and move in with their parents to make ends meet.
Unfortunately, the global oil crisis is expected to get worse in the future, as many experts believe that the increase in the adoption rates of electric cars will further reduce the demand for gas guzzling vehicles. To learn more about how electric cars can exacerbate the oil crisis please visit here.